Tracking long range precipitation for Southern Ontario using weather models, satellite, and meteorological data.
Blizzard 2010!!!
My biggest pet peeve use to be when other meteorologists always hyped up storms. It was frusterating when they called for 6 - 12 inches of snow and then only 3 inches of snow actually fell. I never realized until now, how difficult their job actually is. This storm is one very difficult storm to predict. The good news is that the weather models are showing some consistency in where the storm is going to go. I am certain that the track is going to be exact or similar to the one I have on the map. The storm hits the coast and moves inland in a southwestward direction. Then it stops unleashes its power inland creating heavy winds and blinding snow. As it loses its intensity, it will start to move northward again.
Now how will this storm affect Southern Ontario? The temperatures need to be factored in before I give accurate snowfall predictions. Most regions in Southern Ontario will receive a mix of rain and snow with the majority as snow. Other regions will just receive snow flat out. Deciphering this snow/rain line will be hard indeed. I believe that the only areas to receive a possible blizzard in Southern Ontario is the Niagara Falls area and maybe a bit of Toronto. All other areas will receive slightly less heavy winds and of course, heavy snow in the 6 - 12 inch range. The blizzard areas I mentioned will pick up 12 - 24 inches of snow. I will keep an eye on this storm and will inform you of the latest developments.
Just a quick note,
The Cornwall area is under a snowfall warning until late tonight as a heavy snowband has set up in the area giving 15 centimeters of snow.
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