Final Winter Forecast 2010 - 2011

My final winter forecast is now posted, and I apologize for the delay. I wanted to get some more weather data and advice before I finalized the forecast. It turns out that the winter pattern is now changing from what I had originally thought (See my previous winter forecast). My current winter forecast idea is currently being discussed by meteorologists who have begun to doubt their own winter predictions...many of which are drastically different from this one. I am not saying that my forecast is what changed their view, but instead I am explaining that the current weather data is starting to change a lot of perspectives on the 2010 - 2011 winter.

Originally, meteorologists were predicting a fair amount of snowstorms for the Eastern Great Lakes, however that is changing now and the storm track will be further west than originally thought. They also had not been expecting a storm track along the northeast coast, which now seems to be a great possibility. In fact, I believe that we will see at least 5 major east coast storms this year that will deliver 10 inches or more to cities such as; Boston, Portland, Manchester, and Halifax. We have already seen an active storm pattern along the coast through the month of October, which could signify what the upcoming winter will be like. 

Southern Ontario Winter Forecast

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Between now and January, I believe that Southern Ontario could experience one or two winter storms. These storms will be a rain/snow mix for most of Southern Ontario, however areas around Niagara Falls and Windsor could receive an icy mix with their rain and snow. Lake effect snow will become a nuisance after these storms pass through.
                                                                       

The La-Nina will only get stronger in the new year, and this is how I believe 2011 will start off. We will get a thaw around the middle of January. Temperatures will rise to slightly above zero at times for most of Southern Ontario. Cold air will then sweep back into Southern Ontario in the beginning of February, and temperatures will fall well below zero degrees Celsius. The lake effect snow machine will kick in again, and the Alberta Clippers will start to make their appearance in Southern Ontario. Alberta Clippers tend not to give out much snow due to their speed and lack of explosive development; that is precisely why Southern Ontario will receive only an average snowfall this year. The lake effect snow will also be average this year, and if you noticed, I drew flurries around the snow squall bands; this is to leave room for those bands that sometimes move north or south during a 24 hour period. I will be updating you on all the latest developments concerning this upcoming winter and the events that lie ahead.